Vitesse 1-2 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Jan 2026

Vitesse
1-2 HT 1-0
Dordrecht
📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
9.29
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
12%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
19%
5.2
X/2
9%
6.92
X/X
9%
5.32
2/1
6%
23.55
2/2
10%
4.62
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.5pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.61
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
23.4 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vitesse vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.11.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
24.01.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 0-3 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.10.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
18.04.2015 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL
28.10.2014 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOK
27.09.2014 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-6 HT 0-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Vitesse 1-2 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-2
AWAY Dordrecht
0.80 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht nicked a narrow win over Vitesse 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Vitesse had 45% of the ball to Dordrecht's 55%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.80 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vitesse and 1.50 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Dordrecht?

Vitesse 1-2 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 47%, draw 22%, Dordrecht 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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