Den Bosch 1-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.73
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
21%
5.23
X/2
13%
7.53
X/X
10%
5.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
2/2
11%
4.81
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -17%
1.70/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.44
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.4 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Emmen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
238 Passes 422
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Emmen Emmen 3-1 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
20.12.2024 Emmen Emmen 0-3 HT 0-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
20.09.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
02.08.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HAZ
03.05.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-1
AWAY Emmen
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and Emmen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Den Bosch had 51% of the ball to Emmen's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Den Bosch and 1.17 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Emmen?

Den Bosch 1-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 47%, draw 24%, Emmen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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