Emmen 3-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.22
1/2
10%
27.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.38
X/2
9%
6.22
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
8%
24.1
2/2
18%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.33
+10% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.2 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
430 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2024 Emmen Emmen 0-3 HT 0-2 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
20.09.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
02.08.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HAZ
03.05.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
10.11.2023 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.01.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
3-1
AWAY Den Bosch
1.71 xG 1.34
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
407 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen got the better of Den Bosch 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Emmen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emmen had 63% of the ball to Den Bosch's 37%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.71 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emmen and 0.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Den Bosch?

Emmen 3-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Emmen 37%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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