Ajax II 0-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
8.08
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.68
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
14%
4.97
X/2
5%
7.36
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.95
2/2
12%
4.93
2/X
10%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.95 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-5.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.2pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.33/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
12.1 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
453 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
19.08.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
12.02.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 3-0 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
01.09.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
20.02.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-2 HT 2-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
16.09.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 4-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax II
0-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.52 xG 0.34
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
613 Passes 212
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax II vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II and MVV Maastricht played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax II had 71% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 29%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.52 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax II and 1.50 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Ajax II vs MVV Maastricht?

Ajax II 0-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax II vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 52%, draw 26%, MVV Maastricht 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajax II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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