ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
ADO Den Haag v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
ADO Den Haag 1-4 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II dismantled ADO Den Haag 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our model won't enjoy this one — ADO Den Haag at 77% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in ADO Den Haag's favour, shots finished 26-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for ADO Den Haag against 1.33 for AZ Alkmaar II.
ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
ADO Den Haag 1 - 4 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 77%, draw 13%, AZ Alkmaar II 10%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.