Alessandria 1-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.41
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.97
6+ Goals
7%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alessandria EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 48%
-15% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.73/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.49
-34% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +98%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
211 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alessandria
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-0 HT 1-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
22.03.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-1 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
29.11.2020 Alessandria Alessandria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
15.12.2019 Alessandria Alessandria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alessandria
1-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alessandria vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alessandria and Pro Vercelli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Alessandria had 54% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 46%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alessandria had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Alessandria and 1.00 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Alessandria vs Pro Vercelli?

Alessandria 1-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alessandria vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alessandria 31%, draw 29%, Pro Vercelli 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pro Vercelli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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