GIANA Erminio 2-0 Fiorenzuola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.36/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.15
+3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Fiorenzuola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 1-2 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
24.04.2022 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-2 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
18.12.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
2-0
AWAY Fiorenzuola
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Fiorenzuola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio saw off Fiorenzuola 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had GIANA Erminio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 47% of the ball to Fiorenzuola's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.67 for Fiorenzuola.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Fiorenzuola?

GIANA Erminio 2-0 Fiorenzuola in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Fiorenzuola?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 41%, draw 30%, Fiorenzuola 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5
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