Real Sociedad II 2-2 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.27/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.61
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +70%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Barakaldo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Barakaldo Barakaldo 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
07.02.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
08.11.2020 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-4 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
16.02.2020 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-4 HT 2-1 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
29.09.2019 Barakaldo Barakaldo 0-5 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
12.04.2014 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-2 HT 0-0 Barakaldo Barakaldo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
2-2
AWAY Barakaldo
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II and Barakaldo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 48% of the ball to Barakaldo's 52%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.17 for Barakaldo.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Barakaldo?

Real Sociedad II 2-2 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 34%, draw 34%, Barakaldo 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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