Union Sur Yaiza 0-2 SS Reyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.25/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.01
+13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Sur Yaiza
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SS Reyes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 SS Reyes SS Reyes 5-2 HT 1-0 Union Sur Yaiza İS4
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs SS Reyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes saw off Union Sur Yaiza 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day SS Reyes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs SS Reyes?

Union Sur Yaiza 0-2 SS Reyes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs SS Reyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 38%, draw 26%, SS Reyes 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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