Avellino vs Benevento Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Benevento — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Benevento Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Avellino
İTC
2-1
HT 0-0
Avellino
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Benevento
İTB
Avellino 2-1 Benevento — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino edged past Benevento 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avellino had 47% of the ball to Benevento's 53%, shots finished 9-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avellino had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Avellino and 1.00 for Benevento.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Benevento?
Avellino 2-1 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Benevento?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Avellino 44%, draw 34%, Benevento 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.