CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Racing Club Montevideo — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
CA Penarol 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over CA Penarol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CA Penarol at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 64% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 36%, shots finished 14-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Racing Club Montevideo.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?
CA Penarol 1-2 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Racing Club Montevideo?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 56%, draw 24%, Racing Club Montevideo 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5 went the other way.