FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 Apr 2026

📅30/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+0.5pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
2.81/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.66
+16% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2026 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
04.10.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
16.08.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.05.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
22.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
22.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5-0
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn swept aside Harju Jalgpallikool 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 65% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 35%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.17 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Flora Tallinn 5-0 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 69%, draw 17%, Harju Jalgpallikool 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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