Jarun 1-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 30 May 2026

📅30/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.93/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.77
-21% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2026 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 3-1 HT 1-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
27.09.2025 Jarun Jarun 2-1 HT 2-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
08.11.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
01.09.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
18.05.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jarun vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun and HNK Cibalia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jarun had 48% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 52%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Jarun and 1.60 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Jarun vs HNK Cibalia?

Jarun 1-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jarun 39%, draw 27%, HNK Cibalia 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jarun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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