One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
One Knoxville v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
One Knoxville 2-0 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville had too much for Greenville Triumph 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. At 1.71 (~58%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.87 to 0.37.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for One Knoxville against 0.83 for Greenville Triumph.
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph Result & Final Score
One Knoxville 2-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 30/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 47%, draw 26%, Greenville Triumph 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.