Seattle Sounders 2-1 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.81
2-3
46%
1.83
4-5
24%
3.22
6+
6%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.11
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
7%
9.99
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
3%
22.3
2/2
10%
7.54
2/X
5%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Seattle Sounders The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.61 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.95
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.15 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
426 Passes 370
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
14.07.2020 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-1 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
01.03.2020 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.03.2019 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-4 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
24.06.2018 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
14.05.2017 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-1 HT 1-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
AWAY Chicago Fire
2.30 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
434 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Seattle Sounders nicked a narrow win over Chicago Fire 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Seattle Sounders's favour, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.30 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Seattle Sounders against 1.83 for Chicago Fire.

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire Result & Final Score

Seattle Sounders 2 - 1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 58%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
30 Jun 2024
02:30 New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
03:30 Sporting Kansas City vs Austin Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →