Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.6
No
69%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
34%
-3.5pp
69%
BTTS No
66%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.08/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.30
-17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
11.02.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
22.07.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
20.03.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto nicked a narrow win over Defensores Unidos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estudiantes Rio Cuarto as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 0.33 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Defensores Unidos?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 51%, draw 29%, Defensores Unidos 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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