Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.9pp
36%
Draw
27%
+8.7pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.55/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+40% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +62%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rijeka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad ŞMP
28.01.2015 Rijeka Rijeka 1-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-1
AWAY Rijeka
62% Ball Possession 38%
34 Total Shots 10
15 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad saw off Rijeka 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 62% of the ball to Rijeka's 38%, shots finished 34-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Rijeka?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 Rijeka in the Champions League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 44%, draw 36%, Rijeka 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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