Malmö FF 1-0 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
8.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 18%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.87/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-13% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +88%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rigas Skola
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
22.07.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-4 HT 1-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-0
AWAY Rigas Skola
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Rigas Skola 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 63% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 37%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Rigas Skola?

Malmö FF 1-0 Rigas Skola in the Champions League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 51%, draw 23%, Rigas Skola 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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