Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 Pafos FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 23% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pafos FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pafos FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
22.07.2025 Pafos FC Pafos FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
0-1
AWAY Pafos FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Pafos FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pafos FC edged past Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maccabi Tel Aviv at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 52% of the ball to Pafos FC's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Pafos FC?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-1 Pafos FC in the Champions League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Pafos FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 45%, draw 28%, Pafos FC 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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