FCSB 1-2 Shkendija 79 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-11.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.6pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Shkendija 79 EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.33/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.32
+36% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
472 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shkendija 79
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2025 Shkendija 79 Shkendija 79 1-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
1-2
AWAY Shkendija 79
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Shkendija 79
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shkendija 79 squeezed past FCSB 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FCSB carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 66% of the ball to Shkendija 79's 34%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Shkendija 79?

FCSB 1-2 Shkendija 79 in the Champions League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Shkendija 79?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FCSB 64%, draw 20%, Shkendija 79 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FCSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5
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