Karabağ 1-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.58
6+ Goals
15%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
78%
-12.4pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
4.05/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/3.58
+53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shelbourne
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-3 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabağ
1-0
AWAY Shelbourne
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ squeezed past Shelbourne 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Karabağ had 71% of the ball to Shelbourne's 29%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Shelbourne?

Karabağ 1-0 Shelbourne in the Champions League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 66%, draw 17%, Shelbourne 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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