CD Badajoz 0-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.62
Over
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-6.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Badajoz The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno The Market 53%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Badajoz
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cacereno
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Badajoz CD Badajoz İS4
12.11.2023 CD Badajoz CD Badajoz 2-0 HT 2-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
31.07.2019 Cacereno Cacereno 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Badajoz CD Badajoz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Badajoz
0-2
AWAY Cacereno
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CD Badajoz vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno beat CD Badajoz 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, CD Badajoz had 51% of the ball to Cacereno's 49%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Badajoz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Badajoz and 0.33 for Cacereno.

What was the final score of CD Badajoz vs Cacereno?

CD Badajoz 0-2 Cacereno in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Badajoz vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Badajoz 27%, draw 31%, Cacereno 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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