PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
4.58
Over 2.5
64%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.87
2-3 Goals
34%
2.56
4-5 Goals
33%
2.23
6+ Goals
14%
3.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.38
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
20.85
X/1
14%
4.27
X/2
5%
21.25
X/X
7%
11.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
16.3
2/2
7%
15.2
2/X
10%
24.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.3 — our 12% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.3pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
18%
+17.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
82%
-17.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.86/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/3.70
-24% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -27%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
489 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
14.9 Crosses 8.0
0.2 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
4W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
3.70 xG 1.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
564 Passes 280
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
46 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HAZ
26.07.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HAZ
21.07.2015 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 3-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HAZ
15.07.2014 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-3 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3-2
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.41 xG 1.22
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
565 Passes 201
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven edged past FC Eindhoven 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 69% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 31%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.41 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.75 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven 3-2 FC Eindhoven in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 61%, draw 21%, FC Eindhoven 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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