Benfica 5-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.18
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.31
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
29%
2.37
6+ Goals
12%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
81%
-4.2pp
13%
Draw
12%
+1.8pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+2.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 9%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.42/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.69
+3% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +114% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.32 xG 1.74
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
394 Passes 195
23 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2026 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica Benfica AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
5-0
AWAY St. Gallen
3.63 xG 0.92
25 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
527 Passes 164
57 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica cruised past St. Gallen 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 3.63 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Benfica vs St. Gallen?

Benfica 5-0 St. Gallen in the UEFA Europa League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Benfica 77%, draw 13%, St. Gallen 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVL More UEFA Europa League
30 Jul 2026
19:00 Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Sheriff Analysis →
20:00 Hradec Kralove vs Tromsö Analysis →
20:00 Pafos vs Hajduk Split Analysis →
20:00 Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş Analysis →
20:45 PAOK vs Dynamo Kiev Analysis →
21:00 CSKA Sofia vs Karabağ Analysis →