Bournemouth 4-2 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2026

Bournemouth
4-2 HT 1-0
Augsburg
📅30/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Bournemouth vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.95
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
5.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.77
X/2
8%
8.81
X/X
8%
6.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
18.6
2/2
12%
5.64
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.6 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.0pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.98/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.58
+62% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
– Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth got the better of Augsburg 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Augsburg?

Bournemouth 4-2 Augsburg in the Friendlies on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 54%, draw 18%, Augsburg 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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