Parma 1-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2026

Parma
1-1 HT 1-1
Arezzo
📅30/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Parma vs Arezzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.4
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
20%
4.4
X/2
10%
8.46
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.95
2/2
15%
6.63
2/X
8%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Arezzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 26%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Parma 1-1 Arezzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1-1
AWAY Arezzo
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Parma vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma and Arezzo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Parma vs Arezzo?

Parma 1-1 Arezzo in the Friendlies on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Parma 44%, draw 24%, Arezzo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
30 Jul 2026
02:30 Liverpool vs Wrexham Analysis →
12:00 Stade Lavallois vs Granville Analysis →
17:00 Bournemouth vs Augsburg Analysis →
18:30 Cavese vs Sarnese Analysis →
19:00 Monza vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →
19:00 Marsilya vs Nimes Analysis →