Liverpool 1-0 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2026

Liverpool
1-0 HT 0-0
Wrexham
📅30/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Liverpool vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.17
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.38
No
47%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.69
2-3 Goals
40%
2.27
4-5 Goals
22%
2.32
6+ Goals
12%
3.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.95
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
17%
4.7
X/2
7%
10.5
X/X
12%
7.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
16.7
2/2
8%
6.63
2/X
6%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.7 — our 10% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.40
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 83%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
13.3 Crosses 11.3
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.8

Liverpool 1-0 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
1-0
AWAY Wrexham
0.87 xG 1.55
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
581 Passes 329
10 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool edged past Wrexham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.87 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wrexham.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Wrexham?

Liverpool 1-0 Wrexham in the Friendlies on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 56%, draw 25%, Wrexham 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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