Marsilya 2-1 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.77
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
15%
5.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.8pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.6pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.2pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 12%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.33
-42% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +68%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
481 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nimes
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
444 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 0-2 Nimes Nimes HAZ
16.01.2021 Marsilya Marsilya 1-2 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR1
04.12.2020 Nimes Nimes 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
28.02.2020 Nimes Nimes 2-3 HT 1-2 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
21.12.2019 Marsilya Marsilya 3-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR1
13.04.2019 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
2-1
AWAY Nimes
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Marsilya vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya edged past Nimes 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Marsilya and 1.33 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Marsilya vs Nimes?

Marsilya 2-1 Nimes in the Friendlies on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 70%, draw 15%, Nimes 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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