Cavese 1-0 Sarnese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2026

Cavese
1-0 HT 1-0
Sarnese
📅30/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Cavese vs Sarnese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cavese v Sarnese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarnese EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Cavese 1-0 Sarnese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-0
AWAY Sarnese
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Sarnese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese nicked a narrow win over Sarnese 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cavese as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Sarnese?

Cavese 1-0 Sarnese in the Friendlies on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Sarnese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cavese 60%, draw 23%, Sarnese 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavese) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavese) ✗ Over 2.5
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