Scarborough Athletic 2-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.84/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.63
+13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Southport
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Southport Southport 0-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
19.10.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-2 Southport Southport İCON
20.02.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
05.09.2023 Southport Southport 3-1 HT 2-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
25.03.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
03.12.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
2-0
AWAY Southport
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic beat Southport 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Scarborough Athletic as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 56% of the ball to Southport's 44%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.33 for Southport.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

Scarborough Athletic 2-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 53%, draw 26%, Southport 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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