Southport 0-1 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

Southport
0-1 HT 0-1
Scarborough Athletic
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Southport vs Scarborough Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southport v Scarborough Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.08/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.38
-20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Southport vs Scarborough Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 1-2 Southport Southport İCON
20.02.2024 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
05.09.2023 Southport Southport 3-1 HT 2-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
25.03.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
03.12.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-1 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
POST-MATCH Southport vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic edged past Southport 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Scarborough Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Southport had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Southport and 0.60 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Southport vs Scarborough Athletic?

Southport 0-1 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Southport 39%, draw 25%, Scarborough Athletic 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Southport), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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