Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
56%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 61%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.14/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.84
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.06.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
09.04.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.10.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.08.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
18.06.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
03.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-0
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Paide Linnameeskond carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 50% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 50%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.33 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 23%, draw 22%, Paide Linnameeskond 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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