Tallinna Kalev 0-4 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
7.95
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
77%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
2%
2/2
42%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
9%
-1.2pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.8pp
77%
Away Win
78%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 84%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
0.70/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.64
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
15.03.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
09.11.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-1 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-3 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
10.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-4
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 36% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 64%, shots finished 10-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 3.33 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Tallinna Kalev 0-4 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 8%, draw 15%, FC Flora Tallinn 77%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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