Jeju United 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.01
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.13
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
14%
5.38
X/X
13%
3.7
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.96
2/X
5%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
0.96/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.85
-27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
06.04.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
10.11.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.09.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
30.06.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
01.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
329 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju edged past Jeju United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Jeju United had 60% of the ball to Gwangju's 40%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jeju United and 1.17 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Gwangju?

Jeju United 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 40%, draw 23%, Gwangju 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jeju United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5
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