Ujpest 1-2 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.44
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.8 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-0D-5L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.54 xG 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
423 Passes 340
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-2 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
01.03.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 1-5 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
26.10.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
21.04.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.09.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 0-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-2
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.39 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
414 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest edged past Ujpest 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ujpest had 60% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 40%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.39 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ujpest.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ujpest and 2.83 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

Ujpest 1-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 45%, draw 27%, MTK Budapest 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ujpest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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