Atletico San Luis vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico San Luis v Toluca — Team-Based Signals
Atletico San Luis vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Atletico San Luis
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Toluca
MEK
Atletico San Luis 1-3 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca beat Atletico San Luis 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Atletico San Luis had 52% of the ball to Toluca's 48%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.36 to 2.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.17 for Toluca.
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Toluca?
Atletico San Luis 1-3 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Toluca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 22%, draw 18%, Toluca 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.