Puebla 2-4 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 30 Aug 2025

Puebla
2-4 HT 1-2
Monterrey
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Puebla vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puebla v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.12/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.07
-9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 82%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.0 Crosses 19.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Puebla vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Monterrey
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.72 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 437
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.01.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
17.08.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
14.01.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
04.10.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.01.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
27.07.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK

Puebla 2-4 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
2-4
AWAY Monterrey
1.15 xG 2.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
324 Passes 618
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey got the better of Puebla 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Puebla had 36% of the ball to Monterrey's 64%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.15 to 2.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Puebla and 1.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Monterrey?

Puebla 2-4 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Puebla 29%, draw 26%, Monterrey 45%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ BTTS Yes
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