Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.51/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 4-2 HT 2-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
08.03.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
22.10.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
19.04.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
01.02.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URUSK
18.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-0
AWAY Defensor Sporting
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) got the better of Defensor Sporting 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 51% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 49%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.17 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 44%, draw 25%, Defensor Sporting 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
30 Aug 2025
22:00 CA River Plate vs Nacional de Football Analysis →