Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 30 Aug 2026

📅30/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY New York City FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.25 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 357
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2026 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
04.07.2025 New York City FC New York City FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
26.04.2025 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.05.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-3 HT 0-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
17.03.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
24.09.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
PREVIEW Toronto FC vs New York City FC
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model can't split Toronto FC and New York City FC in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.

Both teams have scored in 5 of Toronto FC's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, New York City FC have found the net in all 5 of their most recent away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Toronto FC against 2.17 for New York City FC.

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Kick-off Time

Toronto FC play New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 30/08/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Toronto FC vs New York City FC Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Toronto FC vs New York City FC is a Toronto FC win at about 37% probability, priced 2.33 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Toronto FC 37%, draw 27%, New York City FC 37%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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