Pachuca vs Guadalajara Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 30 Aug 2026

📅30/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Guadalajara
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2026 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-0 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
03.11.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 0-1 HT 0-0 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
23.02.2025 Guadalajara Guadalajara 2-1 HT 2-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
20.10.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-2 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
14.04.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 0-1 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara MEK
24.09.2023 Guadalajara Guadalajara 0-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
PREVIEW Pachuca vs Guadalajara
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Guadalajara in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for Pachuca against 1.33 for Guadalajara.

Pachuca vs Guadalajara Kick-off Time

Pachuca play Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 30/08/2026, kick-off 02:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Pachuca vs Guadalajara Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Pachuca vs Guadalajara is an Guadalajara win at about 45% probability, priced 2.11 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Pachuca 28%, draw 28%, Guadalajara 45%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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