Guadalajara vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
1-1
HT 0-1
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 2-0 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara got the better of Pachuca 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 56% of the ball to Pachuca's 44%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.80 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guadalajara and 0.33 for Pachuca.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Pachuca?
Guadalajara 2-0 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Pachuca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 56%, draw 21%, Pachuca 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.