Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Queretaro
CONLK
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Pumas UNAM and Queretaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Pumas UNAM carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 59% of the ball to Queretaro's 41%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pumas UNAM and 0.83 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro?
Pumas UNAM 1-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 56%, draw 24%, Queretaro 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM), BTTS No went the other way.