Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 Aug 2026

📅30/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.62
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
450 Passes 416
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2026 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
02.11.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 4-0 HT 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
25.05.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
01.12.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-3 HT 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
26.08.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
PREVIEW Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Tromsö clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

Sarpsborg 08's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Tromsö against 1.50 for Sarpsborg 08.

Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08 Kick-off Time

Tromsö play Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/08/2026, kick-off 18:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08 Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Tromsö vs Sarpsborg 08 is a Tromsö win at about 59% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Tromsö 59%, draw 23%, Sarpsborg 08 18%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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