FC Eindhoven 2-2 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.4
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.13
X/2
8%
5.53
X/X
12%
5.49
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
22%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.37/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.29
-18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.6 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Dordrecht
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
13.09.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.03.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
29.09.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
03.02.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
30.09.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
2-2
AWAY Dordrecht
0.44 xG 3.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 9
259 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 46
22 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven and Dordrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 47% of the ball to Dordrecht's 53%, shots finished 9-28, expected goals 0.44 to 3.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.50 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?

FC Eindhoven 2-2 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 37%, draw 25%, Dordrecht 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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