Utrecht II 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Sep 2025

Utrecht II
0-0 HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.33
Over 2.5
63%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
8%
7.03
X/2
18%
5.11
X/X
8%
5.89
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
27%
2.78
2/X
5%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.0pp
54%
Away Win
45%
+8.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.27/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.56
-22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
14.6 Crosses 11.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.22 xG 1.64
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.03.2025 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 5-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
22.10.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
12.02.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
14.08.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
17.04.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 4-0 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
09.01.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

Utrecht II 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.07 xG 0.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
308 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II and AZ Alkmaar II fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar II at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht II had 51% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 49%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Utrecht II and 2.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Utrecht II 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 28%, draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar II 54%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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