Emmen 2-4 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Sep 2025

Emmen
2-4 HT 1-2
Vitesse
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Emmen vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.13
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
19%
4.35
X/2
9%
9.46
X/X
10%
6.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.9
2/2
10%
6.86
2/X
7%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.03
-26% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
23.2 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Emmen vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Vitesse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.27 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
391 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 2-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
16.09.2024 Emmen Emmen 3-3 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
04.02.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
22.10.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
16.01.2021 Emmen Emmen 1-4 HT 0-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
08.11.2020 Vitesse Vitesse 3-1 HT 3-0 Emmen Emmen HOL

Emmen 2-4 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-4
AWAY Vitesse
3.37 xG 2.30
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
429 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Emmen vs Vitesse
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Vitesse beat Emmen 4-2 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Emmen had 63% of the ball to Vitesse's 37%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.37 to 2.30.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emmen and 2.67 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Vitesse?

Emmen 2-4 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Emmen 53%, draw 23%, Vitesse 24%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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