Rubin Kazan 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 36% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 46%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.06/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.24
-94% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.58 xG 2.23
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 509
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
27.07.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-2 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.03.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.09.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
14.08.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
27.07.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over Rubin Kazan 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 55% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 45%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rubin Kazan and 2.67 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Rubin Kazan 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 30%, draw 27%, Zenit St. Petersburg 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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