AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 Blauw Geel 38 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Blauw Geel 38 EU Bookmakers 24%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
3-1
AWAY Blauw Geel 38
1.42 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
417 Passes 384
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
40 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Blauw Geel 38
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche saw off Blauw Geel 38 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 50% of the ball to Blauw Geel 38's 50%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.42 to 1.68.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Blauw Geel 38?

AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 Blauw Geel 38 in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Blauw Geel 38?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 51%, draw 20%, Blauw Geel 38 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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