Warrington Town 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.8pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.17/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.97
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Chester
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2024 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
26.12.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 1-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-1
AWAY Chester
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town and Chester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Warrington Town had 42% of the ball to Chester's 58%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Warrington Town and 1.00 for Chester.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Chester?

Warrington Town 1-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 30%, draw 28%, Chester 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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