Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atalanta v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta beat Fiorentina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Fiorentina saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.60 to 1.58.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Atalanta against 1.83 for Fiorentina.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score
Atalanta 2 - 0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 58%, draw 24%, Fiorentina 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.